According to Ukrainian intelligence and independent investigations, Belarus continues to actively build up its military infrastructure directly near the border with Ukraine. New facilities are appearing in the border areas of the Gomel and Mogilev regions, in close proximity to the Zhytomyr, Kyiv, and Chernihiv regions of Ukraine.
The information is confirmed by recent satellite images published by the Flagstaff project .
What exactly is Belarus building near our border?
In recent months, images published by monitors have captured the construction of several key facilities:
- The new border post “Svecha” (Narovlyanskyi district) is being built just 860 meters from the Ukrainian border (village of Svecha). Completion of work is expected by August 2026.
- Military town on the territory of the former pioneer camp “Chaika” (Gomel district) Located approximately 40 km from the border with Ukraine. Active construction of infrastructure for the accommodation of personnel and equipment is underway.
- New large landfill near Yakymivka station (Rechytskyi district). The active phase of construction began in January 2026.
- Dams and embankments (“Eastern Bypass”) are being built in the Yakubivka and Chenka areas — probably for the rapid movement of heavy equipment to the border.
- Plan to build another outpost in the village of Karpivka (Loyiv district).
These actions are associated with the creation of the so-called “Southern Operational Command” of the Belarusian army.
Which regions of Ukraine are at risk?
The most vulnerable remain:
- Zhytomyr region
- Kyiv region (northern districts)
- Chernihiv region
- Volyn and Rivne regions (to a lesser extent)
Why is this important?
The construction of such infrastructure in the immediate vicinity of the Ukrainian border is not “ordinary exercises.” This is systematic training that allows for the rapid deployment of significant forces in the event of an escalation. What is especially dangerous is that some of the facilities are located in the Gomel region – exactly where the offensive on Kyiv was already taking place in 2022.
Conclusion
While Lukashenko publicly declares that “Belarus is preparing for war,” a new military infrastructure is actually being created on the border with Ukraine. Ukrainian intelligence and military command are closely monitoring the situation and have already publicly declared that they see all the actions of the Belarusian military near our borders and are ready to react in case of threats.
The situation on the northern border remains tense. The Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to strengthen defense in all threatening directions.
News on this topic earlier (04/17/2026):
Today at 19:25, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy reported in his telegram that according to the results of the report of Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrsky and intelligence data , it was proven that Russia is trying to draw Belarus into the active phase of the war. Thus, according to Ukrainian intelligence, intensification of preparatory measures is being recorded on the territory of Belarus, which may indicate preparations for a possible attack on Ukraine .
What exactly is happening?
According to information from the President and the General Staff in Belarus as of now:
- The construction of roads and artillery positions in border areas is being recorded .
- Lukashenko today signed a decree on the conscription of reserve officers into military service to replenish the mobilization reserve.
Let’s recall Lukashenko’s recent statements
In early April, Alexander Lukashenko publicly declared: “There can be no peaceful time, we are preparing for war .” You can listen to the details in the video below.
This statement, combined with current actions, raises serious concerns on the Ukrainian side.
Which regions of Ukraine are at risk?
According to military and intelligence estimates, in the event of a possible attack from the territory of Belarus, the following will be at risk:
- Volyn region
- Rivne region
- Zhytomyr region
- Kyiv region
The northern areas of the Kyiv region remain particularly vulnerable, where there was already an attempted offensive in early 2022.
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Context and assessment of the situation
Ukrainian intelligence believes that Russia is actively trying to compensate for the shortage of personnel by drawing Belarus into direct participation in the war. At the same time, it is worth noting that there is currently no record of the formation of strike groups ready for immediate invasion. Although preparatory measures are ongoing, it is important to understand about intelligence and defense from the Ukrainian side of the border.
President Zelensky instructed the relevant channels to warn the leadership of Belarus against wrong steps and emphasized that Ukraine is ready to defend its land and independence.
“I instructed the relevant channels to warn the de facto leadership of Belarus about Ukraine’s readiness to defend its land and independence. The nature and consequences of recent events in Venezuela should deter the leadership of Belarus from making mistakes,” said President Volodymyr Zelensky.
Analytics
Although, as we see above, there are enough reasons to consider the attack real and the threat serious, for an objective assessment it is worth noting the following:
- Although Lukashenko signed a decree this evening to call up reserve officers for military service in order to strengthen the mobilization reserve, these are typical annual events that in previous years did not lead to escalation or a real offensive on the territory of Ukraine by Belarusian regular troops.
- If the offensive really takes place, the Russian and Belarusian military will not be able to quickly create a real threat to Ukrainian cities such as Kyiv, Zhytomyr, Rivne, or Lutsk , since the entire border strip of Ukraine after de-occupation in 2022 was significantly strengthened and is under vigilant guard.
- Also, in the event of an invasion by Russian or Belarusian troops from the north, the Ukrainian military will provide immediate resistance with combat drones, which are currently the general driving force and an ideal way to deter an attack while preserving the lives of the military. It is also worth adding that the total number of UAVs produced in Ukraine is growing year by year .
Conclusion
The situation on the northern border remains tense. However, the Ukrainian military and intelligence are closely monitoring all actions from the Belarusian side. The priority now remains to strengthen defenses in all directions, especially in the north of the country, and prepare a devastating response with a swarm of UAVs.
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